Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Size

The global autonomous last mile delivery market size was valued at $1.74 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $6.21 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 23.6% during the forecast period.

Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Overview

Autonomous last mile delivery refers to the use of autonomous or self-driving vehicles to transport goods from a distribution center or hub to the final destination, typically a consumer's doorstep or a retail location. This technology eliminates the need for human drivers, relying instead on sensors, cameras, GPS navigation, and artificial intelligence to navigate urban environments and deliver packages efficiently and safely. Autonomous delivery vehicles can range from small robots and drones for parcel delivery to larger vehicles capable of transporting groceries or larger goods. The adoption of autonomous last mile delivery is driven by the desire to reduce delivery costs, improve delivery speed, and address labor shortages in the logistics industry. It also aims to enhance convenience for consumers by offering scheduled or on-demand deliveries, potentially transforming the landscape of e-commerce and urban logistics.

Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Dynamics

• The autonomous last mile delivery market is expected to witness significant growth in the future due to rising demand for faster and more efficient delivery solutions, advancements in autonomous vehicle technology and AI, and the increasing labor costs and shortage of delivery personnel.

• Additionally, growth of e-commerce and online shopping habits and the regulatory support for autonomous vehicle testing and deployment are the prominent factors driving the growth of the market.

• However, the high initial costs of autonomous vehicle deployment and concerns over reliability of autonomous systems are restraining the market growth.

• On the contrary, the development of specialized autonomous delivery vehicles and integration of AI and machine learning for route optimization are creating opportunities for market growth.

By Platform, the Ground Delivery Vehicles Segment Constitutes Immense Share with Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market

The ground delivery vehicles segment holds a significant share within the autonomous last mile delivery market owing to the growing emphasis on enhancing the efficiency and speed of parcel and package deliveries in urban and suburban areas. Autonomous vehicles offer the potential to reduce delivery times significantly by operating continuously and optimizing routes dynamically based on real-time traffic and weather conditions. The rising costs and shortages of human drivers in the logistics industry make autonomous systems an attractive alternative for maintaining reliable delivery services without relying on human labor. Moreover, the increasing volume of e-commerce transactions necessitates scalable and flexible delivery solutions that can handle the surge in package volumes efficiently. Autonomous last mile delivery vehicles, equipped with advanced sensors, GPS navigation, and AI capabilities, are well-suited to meet these demands by ensuring timely and secure deliveries while reducing operational costs for logistics companies. In addition, advancements in technology and ongoing regulatory support for autonomous vehicle deployment further propel the adoption of these solutions in the ground delivery vehicles segment, driving innovation and reshaping the future of urban logistics.

By Geography, North America is Projected to Show Strong Presence in the Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market

North America is anticipated to show a robust presence during the forecast period due to the technological advancements and innovation in autonomous vehicle technology, supported by robust investments in research and development by tech companies and logistics firms. This technological prowess facilitates the development and deployment of sophisticated autonomous systems capable of navigating complex urban environments safely and efficiently. Third, there is a strong regulatory framework and supportive policies in place across various states and provinces in North America, promoting the testing and deployment of autonomous vehicles. This regulatory environment encourages innovation and provides a clear path for companies to integrate autonomous last mile delivery solutions into existing logistics networks. Lastly, the competitive landscape in the region drives logistics companies to adopt autonomous technologies to gain operational efficiencies and maintain competitiveness in the rapidly evolving market. These factors collectively contribute to the burgeoning demand for autonomous last mile delivery solutions in North America, shaping the future of urban logistics and e-commerce fulfillment.

• For instance, in May 2022 Uber Eats, a subsidiary of Uber Technologies, Inc., partnered with Motional, an autonomous vehicle technology company, and Serve Robotics, a robotic sidewalk delivery startup, to conduct two autonomous delivery projects in Los Angeles.

Key Target Audience:

• E-Commerce Companies and Retailers

• Logistics and Delivery Service Providers

• Urban Planners and City Governments

• Regulatory Authorities and Policymakers

• Consumers and End-Users

• Insurance Providers and Risk Management Firms

• Research and Development Institutions

List of the Key Players Profiled in the Report Includes: 

• Alibaba Group Holding Ltd.

• Amazon.com

• Caterpillar Inc

• Continental AG

• JD.com Inc.

• Kiwibot

• Nuro, Inc.

• Panasonic Corporation

• Starship Technologies

• TeleRetail

• Udelv Inc.

• Waymo LLC

Recent Developments:

• In February 2024, Starship Technologies secured USD 90 million in funding, led by Plural and Iconical, to support its global autonomous delivery robot service. The investment will drive expansion efforts to meet the increasing demand for home deliveries.

Market Segmentation:

The research report includes in-depth coverage of the industry analysis with size, share, and forecast for the below segments:

Market by, Platform: 

• Aerial Delivery Drones

• Ground Delivery Vehicles

Market by, Solution:

• Hardware

• Software

• Service

Market by, Range: 

• Short Range (<20 Kilometers)

• Long Range (>20 Kilometers)

Market by, End User:

• Food & Beverages

• Retail

• Healthcare

• Other End Users

Market by, Geography:

The autonomous last mile delivery market report also analyzes the major geographic regions and countries of the market. The regions and countries covered in the study include:

• North America (The United States, Canada, Mexico), Market Estimates, Forecast & Opportunity Analysis

• Europe (Germany, France, UK, Italy, Spain, Rest of Europe), Market Estimates, Forecast & Opportunity Analysis

• Asia Pacific (China, Japan, India, South Korea, Australia, New Zealand, Rest of Asia Pacific), Market Estimates, Forecast & Opportunity Analysis

• South America (Brazil, Argentina, Chile, Rest of South America), Market Estimates, Forecast & Opportunity Analysis

• Middle East & Africa (UAE, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Iran, South Africa, Rest of Middle East & Africa), Market Estimates, Forecast & Opportunity Analysis

Scope of the Report:

The report oGlobal Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market: Industry Analysis, Opportunities and Forecast up to 2030o by Diligence Insights provides a detailed analysis of the present market and future outlook with market estimates and forecasts for all specified segments, encompassing both global and regional perspectives as outlined within the research framework. The study includes historical market data for the years 2022, 2023 and offers revenue estimations for 2024, and project forecasts spanning from 2025 to 2030. It places significant emphasis on the examination of market trends, key industry participants, supply chain developments, technological advancements, pivotal milestones, and prospective strategies. Comprehensive market assessments are carried out across major geographic regions, including North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, South America, and Middle East & Africa. As such, this report constitutes a valuable resource for current industry stakeholders, newcomers to the field, and potential investors.

The study offers an in-depth market analysis, drawing insights from industry experts across the value chain. A special focus has been made on 25 countries, including the United States, Canada, Mexico, the United Kingdom, Germany, Spain, France, Italy, China, Brazil, Saudi Arabia, and South Africa, among others. The market data has been meticulously collected through extensive primary interviews and comprehensive secondary research. Market size determination is rooted in the revenue generated from sales across all the specified segments and sub-segments as defined within the research scope. The market sizing analysis includes both top-down and bottom-up approaches for data validation and accuracy measures.

The report offers insights into the following aspects:

• Analysis of major market trends, factors driving, restraining, threatening, and providing opportunities for the market.

• Analysis of the market structure by identifying various segments and sub-segments of the market.

• Understand the revenue forecast of the market for North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, South America, and Middle East & Africa.

• Analysis of opportunities by identification of high-growth segments/revenue pockets in the market.

• Understand major player profiles in the market and analyze their business strategies.

• Understand competitive developments such as joint ventures, alliances, mergers and acquisitions, and new product launches in the market.